NBC News Political Director and moderator of Meet the Press Chuck Todd has given Democrats a dire scenario — it’s unlikely that we have any chance of taking the House until 2022.
From the Meet the Press transcript:
“We’re projecting 246 seats,” said Todd. “If they hit that number, it’ll be the most the most Republicans in the House of Representatives since World War II. If they get more, and there’s a good chance they get to 247, or above: Most republicans serving in the House since 1928.”
And:
“It basically is a firewall for the next presidential (election),” he added. “Let’s say Hillary Clinton is the nominee and she has a resounding victory of some sort, it is really hard to imagine how Democrats could win the House even in some sort of Hillary Clinton landslide. So this really secures the House Republican majority, for the rest of this decade. Not until 2022 I think, at the earliest, will you see Democrats have a chance at winning the house.”
From TPM:
A closer look at the numbers shows why the GOP House majority is basically impenetrable until the next redistricting, and maybe beyond. It was never more stark than in 2012, when Democrats received about 500k more votes nationwide than Republicans but still ended up with substantially fewer seats. Some of this is due to an extremely effective gerrymandering effort by Republicans after the 2010 election. But it’s not only that. Democrats are also increasingly concentrated in small geographical areas, which greatly amplifies the effect of gerrymandering and is also a significant and growing issue in itself.
This chart from TPM gives a solid visual that validates Chuck Todd’s statements.
Below is the video from the Meet the Press segment.
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Tiffany Willis is a fifth-generation Texan and the founder and editor-in-chief of Liberal America. An unapologetic member of the Christian Left, she has spent most of her career actively working with ?the least of these? and disadvantaged and oppressed populations. She’s passionate about their struggles. To stay on top of topics she discusses,?like her?Facebook page,?follow her on Twitter, or?connect with her via LinkedIn. She also has?a?grossly neglected personal blog?and a?literary quotes blog that is a labor of love. Find her somewhere and join the discussion.
